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Since this is a board where careful logical reasoning is important, I thought it might be good to have a thread for practicing this skill.  Please feel free to contribute any exercises you might have.  I'll start with one, below:

Consider the following proposition P: "An outlet for population overflow is required for a country's economy to prosper."
Now the consider the following argument A against proposition P: "We need only look to our own shores to find counter-evidence: Cuba has long been able to discharge its surplus population by sending people here, and yet its economy has done quite poorly."
Why is A an invalid argument against P?
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Seems correct.  Although in practice there will only be so many children, so a parameter will only be approximated by a population, the expected value can be figured exactly.

>>3258  >>3254
Right, the government might (and mostly did) simply limit families to one child.  In which case if they got a girl, better luck next lifetime, I guess.  In letting parents have children until they get a boy, some control is placed on population -- parents might really want several boys -- but parents at least won't miss out on having a boy.  To be honest, I'm not well versed in the history of China, but I think both versions happened, at least in some part, at least for some period of time.

I thought not giving the sex ratio of a birth might be an issue, although people have assumed 1:1 which was fine.  Solving for an arbitrary ratio would be fine as well.  Noted I should have said "Parents want families consisting of more than one boy."  I guess one can't change the past, so one will change the future.

Logic Exercise 2:
In China, parents want families consisting of many boys.  The government wants to limit births, so they compromise: parents may have children until they get a boy.  For simplicity, we'll say every family has one boy and however many girls preceded that boy.  At birth, the sex ratio may be assumed to be 1:1 -- that is 50% chance of male, 50% chance of female -- but arbitrary ratios may be used as well.  What is the sex ratio of Chinese children (and please specify if not using a 1:1 birth ratio)?

>finding the area compounded by
I convinced myself I can show convergence of the series, but it would be a bit long to type out.  You mention area -- did you compute a integral?


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I was thinking someone might come to it, but a simplifying insight is that in broad terms, parents are having babies, each birth an independent, random event.  There is no way to skew the expected birth ratio by choosing which family will have a child.


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Do you frame your political philosophy more in terms of what you support, or what you oppose? How do you think this influences others' perception of your politics, as well as your own? If it's a conscious thing, what's your reasoning behind it? Is your reasoning consistent?

Even when this choice ultimately boils down to two mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive sides of the same coin, I find that framing and connotation still influence the way beliefs are communicated and understood.

For instance, I tend to more frequently describe myself as anti-capitalist than socialist. This is in part because I have more conviction in capitalism being fundamentally flawed and unethical than I do in socialism being the best alternative, and also in part to avoid semantic confusion over what socialism actually means.

I'm also more likely to call myself anti-authoritarian than libertarian, because I believe the status quo in most of the world is authoritarian, and identifying authoritarianism as the problem by positioning oneself as explicitly opposed carries more of a proactive implication that it authoritarianism is a problem that needs to be addressed, compared the relative passivity of framing oneself as libertarian, which could just as well mean more liberty and autonomy is preferred or wanted rather than a necessity. (There is also a semantic problem here, particularly in the US, where the term "libertarian" is associated more with Randian right-libertarianism and the capital-L Libertarian party.)

But, I tend to describe myself as for LGBTQ liberation rather than anti-$(sexuality/identity)phobia. This is because the core of my position is that LGBTQ people have rights and dignity and deserve liberation/empowerment/respect; bigotry and discrimination are bad, but they're bad as a corollary of the previous statement, not the other way around. At first glance, this seems to contradict my anti-authoritarian/libertarian reasoning, but "liberation" carries an explicitly proactive connotation -- and, indeed, if true LGBTQ liberation were achieved, the potential harm done by bigotry would be orders of magnitude less severe.

Note: this thread is intended to be about pro-/anti- framing in particular, the reasoning behind it, and how this influences the way beliefs are communicated and understood, not about value judgments or scrutiny pertaining to specific views themselves, except where directlPost too long. Click here to view the full text.
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I just don't really frame it at all, honestly. If I had to, I'd probably go from 'oppose' more than 'support', but I think that's a side effect of living in a mostly free western nation, and so having a lot of stuff to oppose adding, as opposed to removing.


I tend to be against dogmatism so much that I prefer not to adopt any label for my political beliefs, lest it become some sort of identity.

I don't believe in adopting political belief systems whole cloth that one is expected to adhere to completely just for the sake of being able to adopt as an identy or to be part of some group. There is quite nothing like tribalism and all that moral imperative to fit in and be loyal that can use a person's principles so effectively against their capacity to reason.

So, I don't really frame my beliefs as anything other than I guess ... pragmatic.

I guess I could frame myself as opposed to certain ideologies, philosophies and positions though.


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Generally I don't come to townhall because I'm not interested  in debating about "x" topics


I'm more interested about that OP pic.

So the Charitable Squirrel, I would like to know about that Illustration.
If is not a big problem.

Who drew that illustration? Osamu Tezuka?
Those 3 strange characters from what manga are they from?
In what part/page of tumblr did you download that picture?

P.S. Yes, I know.... maybe I'm breaking the rules but I want to know about that illustration.... if my post gets deleted... The Charitable Squirrel find me in /pony/ so you can tell me about that illustration.
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The country is spending too much compared to what we take in. I think we all agree. But what to be done? I found this interesting calculator where you can roughly dictate policy and try to, not balance the budget, but sorta fix it.


Let's just assume the premise on this website is right, that the estimates are good as far as estimates go, and the idea of getting the budget to the rates it asks is important. What I want to see is what people choose to do to reach the target.

I know how this kind of thing will bring out fighting, so I'm laying out rules and a goal. The goal is to learn from each other and give our opinions on the issues. The way we will do that is by posting our results, maybe adding comments about how you went about it, and then asking each other why we made the choices we did. What we will not do is criticise each others choices, not even in a productive way.

Good example:
>I see you chose to cut military personnel, do you feel that will hurt or position against our rivals? Do you feel it's worth the savings?

Bad example (please no do):
>wow, are you really going to cut spending to Medicare, are you heartless? How can you do such a thing!

And, once they tell you their rationale, that is it. This isn't a debate thread, there will be no arguing tolerated, even positive and good faith discussion is not for this thread. I just want to see what people come up with and hear about their values, even if I don't believe the same thing.
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I'm definitely a less government sort of person, but ultimately I don't know if that's reflected given how many taxes I added.  I do distinctly recall increasing infrastructure spending, because a lot of that is downright hazardous right now.  I didn't cut health care, but that was a pretty involved part of the survey, so I don't think I can summarize the changes.


Now that I've gone through the whole thing and seen the results, the first thing I might revise is the VAT, which I'm definitely concerned about, but seems largely unnecessary.  There might be a couple others I'd revise, but not necessarily anything major.  Overall I don't think any of the taxes I approved would significantly harm anyone, and some might be a gain on multiple levels.  I've always been fond of a wealth tax, for example, because taxing net worth should ideally encourage spending (as opposed to taxing income, which encourages...not making money).  I don't think hoarding assets is a healthy thing for anyone involved, including the hoarder.



Also, I mostly refrained from cutting programs that helped the poor.  I can remember a few exceptions, but even as someone who sees and government as an ideal, I didn't want to rip the rug out from under anyone who was already having trouble standing.


>I've always been fond of a wealth tax, for example, because taxing net worth should ideally encourage spending (as opposed to taxing income, which encourages...not making money).  I don't think hoarding assets is a healthy thing for anyone involved, including the hoarder.
I think I agree with this sentiment very closely!

Anyway, thanks for participating ^_^

Gotcha, I like where your priorities lie!


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What should be done to safeguard against potential global catastrophes that could end the existence of human civilization?  Things like a super-massive asteroid impact, global thermonuclear war, a Yellowstone super-volcano explosion, a natural or biotechnologically engineered super-plague, a self-replicating nanobot mishap, etc.

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How does any virus or disease? There's a few ways. You know that, if the aliens reproduce sexually, someone's gonna try and have sex with one.

It's unlikely, but possible. Isn't that the biggest issue with things like Swine and bird flu? That they jumped species?

I think the scenario specifically says organic matter. The fear being that the nanobots would just keep eating and reproducing until all organic matter (including humanity and all animals) were completely destroyed, leaving behind only giant masses of nanobots (the "gray goo").


I think joining extinction rebellion is certainly a good way to contribute to the global cause of trying to drag humanity back from the precipice it has perched itself upon.

For those not feelin that they are at a precipice at this moment, I think it'd help to listen to something like vid related, and see if you can deny these kinds of facts.


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If people believe alt-right talking points or Nazi rhetoric, I wonder what other consequences this is having on their day-to-day lives.  Substantive examples are a plus for this thread.
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>You've insulted me plenty of times before.

I've "insulted" you by disagreeing with you and "misrepresenting" you (something I still attested I've never done intentionally), but I've never called you a racist with no empathy. I don't think you're a racist. I think you hold some racist views, and are too stubborn to admit it, but we went over why I don't think holding racist views and being a racist are the same thing. I've also never said you lack empathy or that you're "an asshole", especially since that last one violates the rules.

As for mint, it actually wasn't my honest opinion about him. My honest opinions about him are far, far worse. I felt what I said was holding back, but apparently it was still too far. So I won't be talking about him on the site anymore. I think it's easy for people to guess how I'd feel about a white supremacist, but if anyone's curious, I'll tell them in private so I can actually be honest.

I'm fine with voice. I'd prefer it, in fact.

I assume you are talking about Neo-Nazis, because Nazi Germany was not about free speech and silenced people and the media constantly...

But Neo-Nazis aren't in favor of universal free speech. Only free speech for people they consider "people" (i.e. whites) So yes, I am against their version of free speech. Moreover, I question whether they actually ARE for free speech, or try to use free speech as a shield to protect their rhetoric while still trying to silence their detractors.


>I've insulted you by disagreeing with you and "misrepresenting" you
No, you've directly insulted me, too.
The quote I pointed out in >>3283 was in context to you saying I had a "mood disorder". And of course, there's been plenty of other instances besides that.
>but I've never called you a racist with no empathy. I
You've definitely called me a racist. That was one of the earliest problems you and I had.

> I don't think you're a racist. I think you hold some racist views, and are too stubborn to admit it, but we went over why I don't think holding racist views and being a racist are the same thing.
Well I'm very happy to hear that. It's nice to know. Genuinely.
Though you did say it ages ago, during your political ban as I recall since it was a problem we had run in to a few times, and one I had ultimately complained about.

> I've also never said you lack empathy or that you're "an asshole", especially since that last one violates the rules.
Not so sure about that. I am fairly certain you have called me an asshole, a few times. Usually resulted in the thread getting locked, at that point.
Suggestion of being unempathetic had come up plenty of times, though, for sure. Sometimes more as a blanket for anyone who holds a belief, too. I believe, in the 2A thread, it was something along the lines of "Seems sort of counter-productive to vote against representatives who value human life."

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> If I think kicking puppies is bad, I see people who kick puppies as a bad person. The only way not to is to not think the act of kicking puppies is bad, or to find out that person was forced to kick a puppy against their will.
What is someone believes that puppies enjoyed being kicked or that it is good for their health or that or it is a normal part of obedience training?  Admittedly it is unlikely in the puppy kicking scenario, but other cases are less clear cut.  


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According to studies done by psychologist Kevin Dutton, CEOs are the occupation with the highest percentage of psychopaths working them. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychopathy_in_the_workplace#Careers_with_highest_proportion_of_psychopaths).

Is capitalism structured in such a way that it disproportionally rewards those with psychopathic and/or sociopathic tendencies? Is there a hypothetical economic system that does not, or is humanity always destined to have the worst people in the highest positions of power and influence?
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>Maybe that's what you're asking the crowd.

In a sense, yes. I know that more than one economic system exists, I'd be interested in ideas for ones that do not promote the sociopathic to high positions of power.

> that minimizes positions of great power, as a person with too much empathy for individuals would avoid them.

Not necessarily. Just systems that do not favor the sociopathic, and thus put them in those positions.


>systems that do not favor the sociopathic
Philosopher-kings.  Hmm...well, I can ask, have there been past periods when there were proportionally more and fewer sociopathic people in power, and under what economic system?  Confess my knowledge of history is not that good.  I could pick leaders that most would say are sociopaths, I think it correlates to positions of absolute power over a state, though.  (Especially in ways that make trouble for the US.)

Sorry.  Maybe someone else will know better.  I have to go to work now.


I can't think of any, but someone else might be able to weigh in.

 No.2538[Reply][Last 50 Posts]

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Should we consider a person being romantically involved with a racist to be a tacit endorsement of racism?

Would you ever be romantically involved with a racist, if you yourself are not one?
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I wasn't talking about how evil anyone might be. Please pay attention.

This is specifically about the standard that had already been established, by manly.
this is the justification used to not only condemn racists themselves as evil, but anyone who does not assist in cutting them off from society as a heathen in the flock of the holy faithful.


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>It's impossible to communicate with someone who so openly hates you.
I agree, although I’d like to see the post where I called you evil or lied about someone you love to spite you.


This thread devolved into direct insults and accusations, it's no longer about genuine or thoughtful discussion. The thread is over now. Do not make another. Calling other posters "disgusting" is not acceptable, the shitposting was not acceptable, and this was a disaster.

There may be further to say after the mods talk about this.



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The 18th Amendment granted Congress power to write legislation to enforce a prohibition of intoxicating liquors.  Should the Constitution be further amended to give Congress power to prohibit marijuana and other drugs?
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>Should the Constitution be further amended to give Congress power



Nah. Leave that at state level. I don't even like laws restricting the stuff, anyway.


I don't smoke weed, I don't like potheads, and I don't endorse drug use.

That said, we should probably just go ahead and legalize marijuana at a federal level. Having it be illegal isn't stopping people from using, and it's only being used to disproportionally put some races of people in jail.


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So various threads are addressing the topic of racist or fascist views.  I've begun reading a book that's a bit controversial, one of the most controversial parts centers around discussion of this graph.

While various inequalities in systems enforced by the state are to be considered justice, since a state won't be involved in racism, I don't think measure of IQ has such official standing, so it may be discussed without disrespecting moral authority.

So, it this graph racist?

Is the IQ test racist or is racist to have created this chart -- to want to pull out such data for analysis?

If no, I guess that's it.  If yes, what must be done in correction?
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Isn't that kinda old?  I mean, it was less old in '94, but I'd still like to see how things look these days, which arguably was the point of the NLSY.


And if you want precision, I'm sure minus those who didn't fall into white/black.  (The Bell Curve, Richard J. Herrnstein, Charles Murray; Page 279 if you want to dig into it).

>Isn't that kinda old?
Yes.  I take it the aptitude data came in after '79.  Does seem in sociology random samples are hard to come by, so you take what you can get.  Aptitude tests usually involve select groups -- an ACT for those going to college, for example.  I do remember talking some standard tests in K-12, though.

>how things look these days
I guess one advantage of an older book is you can do that.  I haven't gotten that far, yet, though.

(I lied a bit about sleep, but soon).


>I don't see any reason to suspect that all ethnic groups have the exact same IQ distribution.
The authors say "It seems
highly likely to us that both genes and the environment have something
to do with racial difference."  That is, they don't take a priori that the means should be indistinguishable when environments are.  I think some consider that racism.

>higher IQ of children (via environmental factors affecting IQ)

That was less stressed.  It was noted that it was likely a smart person born in poverty would escape it.

>higher-skewed distribution of IQs of Ashkenazi Jews compared to non-Jewish whites

The book mentioned 98 Jewish people in their study with an IQ 0.98 standard deviations above the mean, which I guess would be about 115, but I think overall they didn't consider the sample big enough to go too far with.

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Are current copyright terms too long?  How long should copyright last?
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Hmm, maybe.  I'd give the limit five years, then.


Yes. They're very much too long. I think about 30 years is pretty reasonable. It leaves enough time for publishers to make money off the process so writers can still effectively work with publishers in a workable time frame, but doesn't leave us in a draconian state we're in now where copyright is a joke that nobody even takes seriously because it's over a fucking century now. Funny part is, these companies make most of their money on opening weekend anyway, and then another bump once the dvd is released, so it wouldn't really hurt these giant publishers much at all.

The way it is now is basically the result of corporations having free rein over the legal system via lobbying, and with the internet making information fast and free, nobody right now has any respect for the 110 year bullshit current copyright law. They'll do what they can to avoid legal ramifications, but nobody, not even the corporations, are looking at the century-long copyright rule and saying "yea, that seems reasonable".




It's anti-freedom and anti-competition to have such long terms.

Rather than a way to promote innovation, it is a way to stifle and stabilize society, producing less competition, in an age where technology rapidly advances.

Really, it should be the other way around - copyright should be getting shorter with advances in technology.


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Imagine you were to discover, with certainty, that the world you are currenty living in is fake.  Everything in it, including all the people, were artificially created.  Whether what you're experiencing is a VR simulation or the dream of a sleeping god, this isn't the real world.  Further, as part of this discovery, you've figured out how to end it.  You'll return to the real world and everything about the fake world will cease to exist.

What do you do?  Stay in the fake world?  Or destroy the fake world to return to the real world?  Does your answer change if the world is particularly good or bad to live in?
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It doesnt say that in the OP.

Its not fun for you to shoot down responses.


End the simulation, probably.
Presuming this is something that's pretty obvious, anyway. More than just "put bullet to head".

Way I see it, better to break the cycle. I've no problem not worrying about whether or not it's possible the world we live in is fake, but if I do know, then I think I'd want to make effort to escape that reality.



Is your response the suggestion that we're currently living in a simulation?  'cause that seems like a whole separate thread, and also a question we've been asking since ancient Rome was a world power.  From here, there's no way to tell that the shadows on the wall aren't the extent of reality.  That's why I specified as part of the question that somehow you did know.

 No.2458[Reply][Last 50 Posts]

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(Continuing the conversation started at >>>/pony/987947 here in /townhall/ at moderator request.)

>the oldest trick in the nazi apologist book is to pit the onus on those reacting to the nazi and paint them as the real problem.
I'm not saying that Nazis are fine.  I think Naziism is a terrible ideology.  But two wrongs don't make a right.  And freedom of thought and speech is very important.  Just because people hold bad beliefs don't give anyone the right to physically attack them.  I'm honestly confused at how anyone could think otherwise.
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Well, i wasn't understanding your words accurately.  Especially when we get into the words of common law, its easy to fail to communicate.

And, people here like to hear absurd strawman extremeness so they can feel justified to ad hominem.  Dont take it personally.


I would just like to point out that telling other posters not to target specific people when Mint is the only one actively going out of his way to accompany posts with images of Lyra, specifically so that people can identify that they're his, is incredibly hypocritical


Um, are are you saying that in response to something specific?  I'm having a hard time seeing how what you said fits in with the rest of this thread.  And what do you mean by "target"?  


I'm feeling very conflicted.

I like this creator, but some of the things they poke fun at in the video are things that sound similar to how my friends express themselves.

Can you guys please give me your honest and detailed opinion about both the video and what you think of genders and identity?
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Well, not as direct as a punch. Or just insulting you to your face. This is a more indirect "look at this person and laugh" kind of bullying.

Not saying one is any less hurtful or better or worse than the other. Just men and women use different flavors of bullying.


I definitely never experienced this! For me, bullying was always quite elaborate. It was clever name-calling, imitation and recurring gags. All the stuff that you see in this video.

You're very keen to stereotype this as male or female behavior, but I think really it's just culture.


Well, many of the differences between men and women ARE societal (or "cultural" if you wanna use that word) so I can't say I completely disagree.


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As you may be aware, Dave Chappelle's recent Netflix comedy special made news headlines for the massive disconnect between the Rotten Tomatoes critics, who initially gave the special a 0% rating, and the audience score of 99%.  As of now, just 1/3 of critics consider it to be "fresh", while only 1 in 100 audience members marked it down.

In the special, Chappelle targets cancel culture itself, in both the title "Sticks & Stones" as well as by joking about every major so-called "marginalized" group without reservation.  No one is safe, so to speak.

Some consider it an example of a comedian punching down at groups he has no right to criticize.  Others consider it to be among the most important comedic acts of a generation, on par with George Carlin's critiques of society and especially political correctness.

As far as the low critic score, there is speculation that Rotten Tomatoes is not only seeking out and onboarding woke reviewers, but also that reviewers who actually liked the special are afraid to voice their support for fear of being targeted and cancelled themselves.  This theory is supported by the politically charged documentary "Knock Down The House" - a.k.a. the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortex Movie - receiving a perfect 100% critic score compared to an audience score of 17%.

Have you seen the Chappelle special?  If so, what did you think about it?
Do you think comedians should be cancelled for making offensive jokes?  Why or why not?
Where do you think this fits into the broader context of the Culture War?
What is your opinion on the usefulness of aggregated critic scores?
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Some people are in a position to ignore harmful words, and others aren't. I don't support Cancel Culture, but I do think criticizing people for poor word choices is perfectly fair. Representation and dialogue affects the way society perceives groups of people



There's a big gap between telling someone their language choices are bad and campaigning to have them fired.


I'm in agreement with this post.

It's so easy to look at something from the outside and decide that you know it intimately enough to make fun of it, without actually understanding it well enough to really hit at something truthful or valuable.

The majority of the time, a comedian is not a good source of information about the world of experiences they haven't had themselves. I think there's value in sticking to putting funny spins on things they are intimately familiar with themselves. I think in this way it's very natural that this leaving no sacred cow unslaughtered, is no apt way to go about comedy. You might get a few shocked laughs or some claps, but at the end of the day, what are you really doing?


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Hey, ponyville. This is your independently-sourced review of your current level of consciousness. Or in other words - I have independently measured how happy of a town you are. You know this is reliable because I have no affiliation or other ties with any official on this site or the other sites that appear in this review.

For more information on the rating system I'm using, see http://www.mapofspirituality.org/map-of-spirituality/

But basically, the bigger the number, the better. And on to the review:


I measured the level of consciousness of four well-known imageboards: ponyville/pony, ponychan/oat, 4chan/mlp, and 4chan/b.


I viewed each post as it appeared on the front page of each website and rated it according to the descriptions of each level of consciousness in http://www.mapofspirituality.org/map-of-spirituality/ and https://www.stevepavlina.com/blog/2005/04/levels-of-consciousness/, as well as my own understanding of the post and the person behind the post's intent, as well as the community's likely reaction (cultural considerations.)
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I'd agree with Koala. There's a point where you're repressing things, and then there's a point where you're failing to cope.



I agree. I think having a time and place for all your various emotions is the way to go, personally. Personally, i'm a fan of just feeling alone by yourself with various media that will fit the bill for that mood. Think the tub of ice cream sad movie cliche, but for more than just sadness.


Declaring people as just being "emotional" because they say some shit that challenges your views is a very easy handwave. The core human condition of having feelings isn't a good enough reason to shrug off someone's points as irrelevant. If you can disconnect your personal feelings from an issue, good for you: that doesn't mean everyone should be expected to do the same, especially not when they have a personal experience with said issue.


I would absolutely also have to agree that this website has a serious fear of confrontation. The fact it was deemed needed to make an entire anon board as a place to compactly store any disagreements as opposed to letting them naturally end or intervening at the point of necessity speaks volumes

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